receipts/outlays
deficits
            RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS(-): 1940-2010
                              (billions of dollars)

                                           Public
        Total    Total  Unified   Public  Def w/o    Gross    OASDI  Medicare
Year Receipts  Outlays  Deficit  Deficit    OASDI  Deficit  Surplus  Surplus      GDP
---- --------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
1940      6.5      9.5     -2.9                                 0.6      0.0     96.8
1941      8.7     13.7     -4.9     -5.5     -6.1     -6.8      0.7      0.0    114.1
1942     14.6     35.1    -20.5    -19.5    -20.4    -21.7      0.8      0.0    144.3
1943     24.0     78.6    -54.6    -60.0    -61.1    -63.4      1.0      0.0    180.3
1944     43.7     91.3    -47.6    -57.0    -58.2    -61.4      1.2      0.0    209.2
1945     45.2     92.7    -47.6    -50.4    -51.6    -56.0      1.2      0.0    221.4
1946     39.3     55.2    -15.9     -6.7     -7.7    -10.9      1.0      0.0    222.7
1947     38.5     34.5      4.0     17.5     16.4     13.8      1.2      0.0    233.2
1948     41.6     29.8     11.8      8.1      6.8      5.1      1.2      0.0    256.0
1949     39.4     38.8      0.6      1.9      0.7     -0.6      1.3      0.0    271.1
1950     39.4     42.6     -3.1     -4.7     -6.3     -4.2      1.6      0.0    273.0
1951     51.6     45.5      6.1      4.7      2.9      1.6      1.8      0.0    320.6
1952     66.2     67.7     -1.5     -0.4     -2.3     -3.8      1.9      0.0    348.6
1953     69.6     76.1     -6.5     -3.6     -5.4     -6.9      1.8      0.0    372.9
1954     69.7     70.9     -1.2     -6.1     -7.8     -4.8      1.7      0.0    377.3
1955     65.5     68.4     -3.0     -2.1     -3.2     -3.6      1.1      0.0    394.6
1956     74.6     70.6      3.9      4.5      3.0      1.7      1.5      0.0    427.2
1957     80.0     76.6      3.4      2.8      2.1      0.4      0.8      0.0    450.3
1958     79.6     82.4     -2.8     -7.0     -7.6     -7.4      0.5      0.0    460.5
1959     79.2     92.1    -12.8     -8.4     -7.7     -7.8     -0.7      0.0    491.5
1960     92.5     92.2      0.3     -2.1     -1.9     -3.1     -0.2      0.0    517.9
1961     94.4     97.7     -3.3     -1.5     -1.9     -2.1      0.4      0.0    530.8
1962     99.7    106.8     -7.1     -9.7     -8.4    -10.3     -1.3      0.0    567.6
1963    106.6    111.3     -4.8     -6.0     -5.2     -7.4     -0.8      0.0    598.7
1964    112.6    118.5     -5.9     -2.9     -3.5     -5.7      0.6      0.0    640.4
1965    116.8    118.2     -1.4     -3.9     -4.1     -6.3      0.2      0.0    687.1
1966    130.8    134.5     -3.7     -2.9     -2.3     -6.2     -0.6      0.9    752.9
1967    148.8    157.5     -8.6     -2.9     -6.9    -11.9      4.0      1.0    811.8
1968    153.0    178.1    -25.2    -22.9    -25.5    -28.2      2.6     -0.1    866.6
1969    186.9    183.6      3.2     11.4      7.7      2.9      3.7      0.7    948.6
1970    192.8    195.6     -2.8     -5.1    -10.9    -15.2      5.9      0.3   1012.2
1971    187.1    210.2    -23.0    -19.8    -22.9    -27.3      3.0      0.7   1079.9
1972    207.3    230.7    -23.4    -19.3    -22.4    -27.8      3.1     -0.1   1178.3
1973    230.8    245.7    -14.9    -18.5    -19.0    -30.4      0.5      1.8   1307.6
1974    263.2    269.4     -6.1     -2.8     -4.6    -17.6      1.8      4.1   1439.3
1975    279.1    332.3    -53.2    -51.0    -53.0    -58.0      2.0      2.1   1560.7
1976    298.1    371.8    -73.7    -82.7    -79.5    -87.0     -3.2      0.7   1736.5
1977    355.6    409.2    -53.7    -71.7    -66.4    -77.4     -3.9      1.2   1974.3
1978    399.6    458.7    -59.2    -58.0    -53.8    -70.2     -4.3      2.4   2217.0
1979    463.3    504.0    -40.7    -33.2    -31.2    -52.9     -2.0      2.6   2500.7
1980    517.1    590.9    -73.8    -71.6    -70.5    -79.6     -1.1      0.7   2726.7
1981    599.3    678.2    -79.0    -77.5    -72.5    -85.8     -5.0      2.8   3054.7
1982    617.8    745.7   -128.0   -135.2   -127.2   -142.5     -7.9      4.8   3227.6
1983    600.6    808.4   -207.8   -212.7   -225.3   -234.3      0.2      6.2   3440.7
1984    666.5    851.9   -185.4   -169.7   -170.0   -192.9      0.3      5.6   3840.2
1985    734.1    946.4   -212.3   -200.3   -207.8   -252.8      9.4      4.1   4141.5
1986    769.2    990.4   -221.2   -233.4   -239.5   -303.1     16.7      5.5   4412.4
1987    854.4   1004.1   -149.7   -149.1   -168.7   -225.5     19.6      8.9   4647.1
1988    909.3   1064.5   -155.2   -161.9   -200.7   -255.1     38.8     15.3   5008.6
1989    991.2   1143.8   -152.6   -139.1   -191.5   -266.7     52.4     22.4   5400.5
1990   1032.0   1253.1   -221.1   -220.8   -279.1   -338.5     58.2     15.5   5735.4
1991   1055.0   1324.3   -269.3   -277.4   -331.0   -391.9     53.5     15.4   5935.1
1992   1091.3   1381.6   -290.3   -310.7   -361.5   -403.6     50.7     13.6   6239.9
1993   1154.4   1409.5   -255.1   -248.7   -295.4   -349.3     46.8     10.2   6575.5
1994   1258.6   1461.9   -203.2   -184.7   -241.4   -292.3     56.8      1.1   6961.3
1995   1351.8   1515.8   -164.0   -171.3   -231.8   -277.3     60.4     -7.1   7325.8
1996   1453.1   1560.5   -107.5   -129.7   -196.1   -260.9     66.4      8.9   7694.1
1997   1579.3   1601.2    -21.9    -38.3   -119.6   -187.7     81.3     -1.1   8182.4
1998   1721.8   1652.6     69.2     51.2    -48.2   -109.0     99.4      6.6   8627.9
1999   1827.5   1701.9    125.5     88.7    -36.0   -127.3    124.7     26.3   9125.3
2000   2025.2   1789.1    236.2    222.6     70.7    -23.2    151.8     29.9   9709.8
2001   1991.2   1863.0    128.2     90.2    -72.8   -141.2    163.0     25.2  10057.9
2002   1853.2   2011.0   -157.8   -220.8   -379.9   -428.5    159.1     28.6  10389.2
2003   1782.3   2159.9   -377.6   -373.0   -528.7   -561.6    155.7      8.1  10838.8
2004   1880.1   2292.2   -412.1   -382.1   -533.0   -594.7    150.9      6.1  11552.8

2005*  2052.8   2479.4   -426.6   -425.7   -586.7   -676.7    161.0     10.8  12227.4
2006*  2177.6   2567.6   -390.1   -399.6   -573.5   -676.2    173.9     40.8  12907.3
2007*  2344.2   2656.3   -312.1   -333.2   -527.4   -642.5    194.2     24.4  13617.2
2008*  2507.0   2757.8   -250.8   -272.6   -486.9   -598.5    214.2     22.5  14349.0
2009*  2650.0   2882.9   -232.9   -255.1   -484.7   -594.9    229.6     21.9  15111.4
2010*  2820.9   3028.2   -207.3   -229.8   -481.5   -593.8    251.7     22.8  15906.2

    RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS(-) FROM PRIOR BUDGET: 2004-2009
                               (billions of dollars)

                                           Public
        Total    Total  Unified   Public  Def w/o    Gross    OASDI  Medicare      GDP
Year Receipts  Outlays  Deficit  Deficit    OASDI  Deficit  Surplus  Surplus   ($bil)
---- --------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
2004*  1798.1   2318.8   -520.7   -507.2   -656.2   -726.4    149.1      5.6    11466
2005*  2036.3   2399.8   -363.6   -371.1   -550.2   -646.5    179.1     17.8  12042.4
2006*  2205.7   2473.3   -267.6   -282.3   -480.2   -593.4    197.9     30.8  12641.1
2007*  2350.8   2592.1   -241.3   -258.9   -479.6   -591.5    220.7     22.2  13279.1
2008*  2485.3   2724.3   -239.0   -256.4            -613.2              25.2  13972.6
2009*  2616.4   2853.5   -237.1   -255.0            -633.0              26.0  14701.6

            PERCENT CHANGE IN PROJECTIONS FROM PRIOR BUDGET: 2004-2009

                                           Public
        Total    Total  Unified   Public  Def w/o    Gross    OASDI Medicare      GDP
Year Receipts  Outlays  Deficit  Deficit    OASDI  Deficit  Surplus  Surplus   ($bil)
---- --------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
2004*     4.6     -1.1    -20.8    -24.7    -18.8    -18.1      1.2      9.2      0.8
2005*     0.8      3.3     17.3     14.7      6.6      4.7    -10.1    -39.5      1.5
2006*    -1.3      3.8     45.8     41.6     19.4     14.0    -12.1     32.5      2.1
2007*    -0.3      2.5     29.3     28.7     10.0      8.6    -12.0     10.0      2.5
2008*     0.9      1.2      4.9      6.3              -2.4             -10.5      2.7
2009*     1.3      1.0     -1.8      0.0              -6.0             -15.8      2.8

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS(-): 1940-2010
                            (percentage of GDP)

                                           Public
        Total    Total  Unified   Public  Def w/o    Gross    OASDI Medicare      GDP
Year Receipts  Outlays  Deficit  Deficit    OASDI  Deficit  Surplus  Surplus   ($bil)
---- --------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
1940      6.8      9.8     -3.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.6      0.0     96.8
1941      7.6     12.0     -4.3     -4.8     -5.3     -6.0      0.6      0.0    114.1
1942     10.1     24.3    -14.2    -13.5    -14.1    -15.0      0.6      0.0    144.3
1943     13.3     43.6    -30.3    -33.3    -33.9    -35.2      0.6      0.0    180.3
1944     20.9     43.6    -22.7    -27.3    -27.8    -29.4      0.6      0.0    209.2
1945     20.4     41.9    -21.5    -22.8    -23.3    -25.3      0.5      0.0    221.4
1946     17.6     24.8     -7.2     -3.0     -3.5     -4.9      0.5      0.0    222.7
1947     16.5     14.8      1.7      7.5      7.0      5.9      0.5      0.0    233.2
1948     16.2     11.6      4.6      3.2      2.7      2.0      0.5      0.0    256.0
1949     14.5     14.3      0.2      0.7      0.3     -0.2      0.5      0.0    271.1
1950     14.4     15.6     -1.1     -1.7     -2.3     -1.6      0.6      0.0    273.0
1951     16.1     14.2      1.9      1.5      0.9      0.5      0.6      0.0    320.6
1952     19.0     19.4     -0.4     -0.1     -0.7     -1.1      0.5      0.0    348.6
1953     18.7     20.4     -1.7     -1.0     -1.4     -1.8      0.5      0.0    372.9
1954     18.5     18.8     -0.3     -1.6     -2.1     -1.3      0.4      0.0    377.3
1955     16.6     17.3     -0.8     -0.5     -0.8     -0.9      0.3      0.0    394.6
1956     17.5     16.5      0.9      1.0      0.7      0.4      0.3      0.0    427.2
1957     17.8     17.0      0.8      0.6      0.5      0.1      0.2      0.0    450.3
1958     17.3     17.9     -0.6     -1.5     -1.6     -1.6      0.1      0.0    460.5
1959     16.1     18.7     -2.6     -1.7     -1.6     -1.6     -0.1      0.0    491.5
1960     17.9     17.8      0.1     -0.4     -0.4     -0.6     -0.0      0.0    517.9
1961     17.8     18.4     -0.6     -0.3     -0.4     -0.4      0.1      0.0    530.8
1962     17.6     18.8     -1.3     -1.7     -1.5     -1.8     -0.2      0.0    567.6
1963     17.8     18.6     -0.8     -1.0     -0.9     -1.2     -0.1      0.0    598.7
1964     17.6     18.5     -0.9     -0.4     -0.5     -0.9      0.1      0.0    640.4
1965     17.0     17.2     -0.2     -0.6     -0.6     -0.9      0.0      0.0    687.1
1966     17.4     17.9     -0.5     -0.4     -0.3     -0.8     -0.1      0.1    752.9
1967     18.3     19.4     -1.1     -0.4     -0.8     -1.5      0.5      0.1    811.8
1968     17.7     20.6     -2.9     -2.6     -2.9     -3.3      0.3     -0.0    866.6
1969     19.7     19.4      0.3      1.2      0.8      0.3      0.4      0.1    948.6
1970     19.0     19.3     -0.3     -0.5     -1.1     -1.5      0.6      0.0   1012.2
1971     17.3     19.5     -2.1     -1.8     -2.1     -2.5      0.3      0.1   1079.9
1972     17.6     19.6     -2.0     -1.6     -1.9     -2.4      0.3     -0.0   1178.3
1973     17.7     18.8     -1.1     -1.4     -1.5     -2.3      0.0      0.1   1307.6
1974     18.3     18.7     -0.4     -0.2     -0.3     -1.2      0.1      0.3   1439.3
1975     17.9     21.3     -3.4     -3.3     -3.4     -3.7      0.1      0.1   1560.7
1976     17.2     21.4     -4.2     -4.8     -4.6     -5.0     -0.2      0.0   1736.5
1977     18.0     20.7     -2.7     -3.6     -3.4     -3.9     -0.2      0.1   1974.3
1978     18.0     20.7     -2.7     -2.6     -2.4     -3.2     -0.2      0.1   2217.0
1979     18.5     20.2     -1.6     -1.3     -1.2     -2.1     -0.1      0.1   2500.7
1980     19.0     21.7     -2.7     -2.6     -2.6     -2.9     -0.0      0.0   2726.7
1981     19.6     22.2     -2.6     -2.5     -2.4     -2.8     -0.2      0.1   3054.7
1982     19.1     23.1     -4.0     -4.2     -3.9     -4.4     -0.2      0.1   3227.6
1983     17.5     23.5     -6.0     -6.2     -6.5     -6.8      0.0      0.2   3440.7
1984     17.4     22.2     -4.8     -4.4     -4.4     -5.0      0.0      0.1   3840.2
1985     17.7     22.9     -5.1     -4.8     -5.0     -6.1      0.2      0.1   4141.5
1986     17.4     22.4     -5.0     -5.3     -5.4     -6.9      0.4      0.1   4412.4
1987     18.4     21.6     -3.2     -3.2     -3.6     -4.9      0.4      0.2   4647.1
1988     18.2     21.3     -3.1     -3.2     -4.0     -5.1      0.8      0.3   5008.6
1989     18.4     21.2     -2.8     -2.6     -3.5     -4.9      1.0      0.4   5400.5
1990     18.0     21.8     -3.9     -3.9     -4.9     -5.9      1.0      0.3   5735.4
1991     17.8     22.3     -4.5     -4.7     -5.6     -6.6      0.9      0.3   5935.1
1992     17.5     22.1     -4.7     -5.0     -5.8     -6.5      0.8      0.2   6239.9
1993     17.6     21.4     -3.9     -3.8     -4.5     -5.3      0.7      0.2   6575.5
1994     18.1     21.0     -2.9     -2.7     -3.5     -4.2      0.8      0.0   6961.3
1995     18.5     20.7     -2.2     -2.3     -3.2     -3.8      0.8     -0.1   7325.8
1996     18.9     20.3     -1.4     -1.7     -2.5     -3.4      0.9      0.1   7694.1
1997     19.3     19.6     -0.3     -0.5     -1.5     -2.3      1.0     -0.0   8182.4
1998     20.0     19.2      0.8      0.6     -0.6     -1.3      1.2      0.1   8627.9
1999     20.0     18.7      1.4      1.0     -0.4     -1.4      1.4      0.3   9125.3
2000     20.9     18.4      2.4      2.3      0.7     -0.2      1.6      0.3   9709.8
2001     19.8     18.5      1.3      0.9     -0.7     -1.4      1.6      0.3  10057.9
2002     17.8     19.4     -1.5     -2.1     -3.7     -4.1      1.5      0.3  10389.2
2003     16.4     19.9     -3.5     -3.4     -4.9     -5.2      1.4      0.1  10838.8
2004     16.3     19.8     -3.6     -3.3     -4.6     -5.1      1.3      0.1  11552.8

2005*    16.8     20.3     -3.5     -3.5     -4.8     -5.5      1.3      0.1  12227.4
2006*    16.9     19.9     -3.0     -3.1     -4.4     -5.2      1.3      0.3  12907.3
2007*    17.2     19.5     -2.3     -2.4     -3.9     -4.7      1.4      0.2  13617.2
2008*    17.5     19.2     -1.7     -1.9     -3.4     -4.2      1.5      0.2  14349.0
2009*    17.5     19.1     -1.5     -1.7     -3.2     -3.9      1.5      0.1  15111.4
2010*    17.7     19.0     -1.3     -1.4     -3.0     -3.7      1.6      0.1  15906.2

RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND SURPLUSES OR DEFICITS(-) FROM PRIOR BUDGET: 2004-2009
                           (percentage of GDP)

                                           Public
        Total    Total  Unified   Public  Def w/o    Gross    OASDI Medicare      GDP
Year Receipts  Outlays  Deficit  Deficit    OASDI  Deficit  Surplus  Surplus   ($bil)
---- --------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
2004*    15.7     20.2     -4.5     -4.4     -5.7     -6.3      1.3      0.0  11466.0
2005*    16.9     19.9     -3.0     -3.1     -4.6     -5.4      1.5      0.1  12042.4
2006*    17.4     19.6     -2.1     -2.2     -3.8     -4.7      1.6      0.2  12641.1
2007*    17.7     19.5     -1.8     -1.9     -3.6     -4.5      1.7      0.2  13279.1
2008*    17.8     19.5     -1.7     -1.8              -4.4               0.2  13972.6
2009*    17.8     19.4     -1.6     -1.7              -4.3               0.2  14701.6

     PERCENT CHANGE IN PROJECTIONS FROM PRIOR BUDGET: 2004-2009

                                           Public
        Total    Total  Unified   Public  Def w/o    Gross    OASDI Medicare      GDP
Year Receipts  Outlays  Deficit  Deficit    OASDI  Deficit  Surplus  Surplus   ($bil)
---- --------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------  -------
2004*     3.7     -1.8    -20.7    -24.8    -19.1    -18.3      0.5               0.8
2005*    -0.7      1.9     16.3     12.3      4.3      2.5    -12.2    -11.9      1.5
2006*    -3.0      1.5     43.9     40.7     16.9     11.5    -15.8     58.0      2.1
2007*    -2.7      0.0     27.3     28.8      7.6      4.8    -16.1    -10.3      2.5
2008*    -1.8     -1.4      2.8      5.6              -5.2             -21.4      2.7
2009*    -1.5     -1.7     -3.7     -0.7              -8.5             -27.6      2.8

* estimated

Note: Public Deficit equals change in Public Debt; Gross Deficit equals change
      Gross Debt;  Gross Debt equals Public Debt plus debt held by government
      accounts; OASDI includes Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Fund (OAS) and
      Disability Insurance Fund (DI); negative numbers denote deficits
Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2006, Historical Tables,
        tables 1.1, 7.1, 13.1
        (prior budget) Budget of the United States Government, FY 2005,
        Historical Tables, tables 1.1, 7.1, 13.1

================================================================================

Among the points that the above tables illustrate are the following:

1) The gross deficit is now projected to reach a record level of $677
   billion in 2005, $30 billion above last year's projection.  This
   will equal 5.5% of GDP, the highest level since it reached 6.5% of
   GDP in 1992.

2) The unified deficit is now projected to reach a record level of $427
   billion in 2004, $63 billion above last year's projection.  This
   will equal 3.5% of GDP, the highest level since it reached 4.7% of
   GDP in 1992.  The unified deficit is the deficit that is most often
   reported and, as the above graph shows, is very nearly equal to the
   public deficit.

3) These record deficits appear to be chiefly due to a steep drop in
   receipts.  From 2000 to 2004, receipts have dropped from 20.9% of GDP
   to 16.3% of GDP, their lowest level since 1959.  Meanwhile, outlays
   have risen from 18.4% of GDP to 19.8% of GDP.  The drop in receipts
   of 4.6% of GDP is over three times the rise in outlays of 1.4% of GDP.

The following points show the relationship between deficits and their
corresponding debts.  This is important since it is the debt that we
are paying interest on and are obligated to pay back.  The figures
for the debts can be found at debt06.html.

4) The gross deficit is projected to reach 5.5 percent of GDP in 2005
   and decrease to 3.7 percent of GDP by 2010.  Meanwhile, the gross
   debt is projected to continue rising as a percent of GDP, reaching
   70.0 percent of GDP in 2010.  In order for the gross debt to
   stabilize at the current 63.7 percent of GDP, the gross deficit would
   need to stabilize at 63.7 percent of the projected growth in GDP.
   As GDP is projected to grow at about 5.4 percent from 2005 to 2010,
   the gross deficit would need to stablize at about 3.4 percent of GDP.

5) The public deficit is projected to reach 3.5 percent of GDP in 2005
   and decrease to 1.4 percent of GDP by 2010.  Meanwhile, the public
   debt is projected to increase to about 40% of GDP in 2007 and decrease
   to 39% of GDP by 2010.  In order for the public debt to stabilize at
   40 percent of GDP, the public deficit needs to stabilize at 40 percent
   of the projected growth in GDP (about 5.4 percent).  This works out to
   about 2.2 percent of GDP.

================================================================================
            DEBT HELD BY GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTS (billions of dollars)

                                    Investment or disinvestment  Holdings
                                   -----------------------------   end of
                                     2004   % of    2005    2006     2006   % of
Description                        actual  total    est.    est.     est.  total
---------------------------------- ------  -----  ------  ------  -------  -----
Old-age and survivors trust fund..  139.2   65.5   151.0   164.9   1768.6   49.3
Civil Service retirement & disabil   30.2   14.2    31.9    31.3    695.1   19.4
Hospital insurance trust fund.....   13.1    6.1     9.8    17.6    291.8    8.1
Disability insurance trust fund...   12.0    5.6    10.0     9.0    201.8    5.6
Military retirement trust fund....    4.9    2.3    10.3     8.4    196.0    5.5
Uniformed Services Retiree Health.   17.4    8.2    22.2    23.6     81.7    2.3
Federal Deposit Insurance Corp....    1.5    0.7     2.2     0.4     49.5    1.4
Unemployment trust fund...........   -2.9   -1.4     0.8     0.0     46.1    1.3
Employees life ins & health benfts    3.1    1.4     2.6     2.7     44.1    1.2
Housing and Urban Development.....   -0.2   -0.1     4.7     2.9     38.5    1.1
Supplementary medical insurance...   -7.4   -3.5     1.2    14.9     33.5    0.9
Highway and Airport trust funds...   -4.0   -1.9     2.9    -0.2     22.9    0.6
Other government accounts.........    5.8    2.7     1.3     1.2    117.3    3.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total investment in Federal debt..  212.6  100.0   251.0   276.6   3586.8  100.0

Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2006, Analytical
        Perspectives, page 254, table 16-4

Go to Budget Home Page